1 in 8 Billion

Born in Nigeria or in Ethiopia?

Two babies are born the same second, one in Nigeria and one in Ethiopia. This is what the numbers say about the two lives ahead of them.

  • A baby born in Nigeria can expect to live 54.6 years; in Ethiopia, 67.7 years.
  • A child in Nigeria is 2.6 times as likely to die before the age of five as a child in Ethiopia.
  • Income per person in Nigeria buys 2.6 times as much as in Ethiopia.
  • Each year about 7,717,990 babies are born in Nigeria and 4,263,170 in Ethiopia.

Side by side

IndicatorNigeriaEthiopiaWorld
Health and survival
Life expectancy, women (years)54.97175.9
Life expectancy, men (years)54.364.471
Babies who die before 1 (per 1,000)69.834.527.8
Children who die before 5 (per 1,000)115.644.537.6
Mothers who die in childbirth (per 100,000 births)993195189
Adults living with HIV (%)1.20.70.7
Adults who smoke (%)3520
Alcohol per adult (litres a year)3.83.14.6
Road deaths (per 100,000)20.728.217
Homicides (per 100,000)15.88.54.7
Family and school
Children per woman4.383.912.85
Women married before 18 (%)334018
Children in primary school (%)648589
Secondary school enrolment (%)473481
Higher education enrolment (%)10648
Children aged 7–14 who work (%)35.126.111.9
Money and work
Income per person (PPP)$8,145$3,095$21,797
Income inequality (Gini, 0–100)343134
Living on under $3 a day (%)41.838.69.9
Unemployment (%)3.13.35.1
Jobs in farming (%)346027
Women in the workforce (%)815848
Health costs paid out of pocket (%)724637
Home and connection
Living in cities (%)642458
Access to electricity (%)635792
Safe drinking water (%)825691
Internet users (%)412272
Peace and wellbeing
Life satisfaction (0–10)4.793.995.4
Deaths in armed conflict (per 100,000 a year)1.3726.422.43
Refugees abroad (% of population)0.20.120.34

From 1960 to 2050

How life here has changed, and where UN projections expect it to go. The dashed part is a projection.

Life expectancy
305580196020002050

Nigeria: 1960: 37.3 → 2026: 54.6 → 2050: 58.6Ethiopia: 1960: 39.8 → 2026: 68 → 2050: 73.4

NigeriaEthiopiaWorld

Children who die before 5 (per 1,000)
0210420196020002050

Nigeria: 1960: 361 → 2026: 111 → 2050: 81Ethiopia: 1960: 254 → 2026: 41 → 2050: 13

NigeriaEthiopiaWorld

Children per woman
048196020002050

Nigeria: 1960: 6.4 → 2026: 4.2 → 2050: 2.7Ethiopia: 1960: 6.5 → 2026: 3.8 → 2050: 2.6

NigeriaEthiopiaWorld

Living in cities (%)
050100196020002050

Nigeria: 1960: 14 → 2026: 65 → 2050: 83Ethiopia: 1960: 7 → 2026: 25 → 2050: 34

NigeriaEthiopiaWorld

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Sources: World Bank (WDI), UN World Population Prospects, Our World in Data, World Happiness Report, UCDP and PRIO. Updated 2026-10-18.